The Smoking Glacier by Cam MacKay

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/reprint/climategate_analysis.pdf

You may have caught the Headline on CBC or the Journal today “Cold snap doesn’t disprove global warming: experts” The article simply points out that one cold day or one cold season doesn’t prove the global warming theory invalid. Agreed, but Global warming theory still has yet to be proven at some point brfore it can be disproven, does it not? CBC Story

Across the ocean in England the Guardian carries essentially the same article titled “Britain’s cold snap does not prove climate science wrong” This article essentially makes the same point as the bit we have in the CBC and in our Southam Newspapers. Not being satisfied with the argument that one cold day a trend does not make, the article in the Guardian goes on to say “Alaska and northern Canada are 5-10C warmer than the average for this time of year, so are North Africa and the Mediterranean”
Guardian story

It is interesting that all the news is similar in all english speaking countries, but not surprising since they all get their news from one or two sources. The genesis of the article on CBC and in the Guardian is from Reuters, the same group of environmental reporters who had e-mail correspondence in climategate.

The fact that George Monbiot of the Guardian feels compelled to throw in some additional information about Canada being warmer is simply because the climate change machine in Britain has run out of gas. The last poll I read showed belief in man made global warming in the minority. Here is a poll before climategate the polls after must be worse for the alarmists in good ol’ England.

Is Northern Canada really 5 to 10 degrees warmer than normal as George Monbiot claims? I sent the Guardian an e-mail asking for a source on this information but I have yet to receive a response. In any event I decided to examine this dubious claim myself. I downloaded all of the 2009 temperature data for Alert Nunavut, (the northernmost temperature station in the center of Canada’s Actic) from Environment Canada. Here is what the data looks like when compiled.

Temperature data for 2009

The temperature for 2009 is almost exactly within the 40 year average. George Monbiot’s claim that the arctic is 5 or 10 degrees warmer than ususal is about five or ten degrees off. Another example of the sliphod effort that goes in the accuracy of alarmist journalism.

On the other side of the world the Labor party is making headlines. Here is what the newspapers say in Australlia, “Labor seizes on temperature figures as evidence of global warming”. In Australlia they have been having a rather warm summer. Labor has found the silver bullet that unequivocally proves global warming, a warm summers day!

Are we getting a good idea as to why environmental journalists never discovered climategate?

Remember Hurricane Katrina? Certainly not out of the ordinary for storms in the gulf coast but this dire event prompted global warming PR teams to hire scientists to produces studies claiming a link between hurricanes and C02 Emissions.

Imagine what a PR coup this would be for carbon tax proponents if the public could be convinced of a link to climate change? Apparently this thought had crossed the minds of global warming alarmists as well. Insert global warming alarmist Kerry Emanuel, in 2005 we saw such a paper from the much vaunted (but now in ill repute due to climategate) Nature magazine. Outlined was indisputable scientific fact that c02 emissions and climate change cause more frequency and extent of hurricanes. Nature Paper
This lexicon now formed part of the much vaunted scientific consensus. This paper was flogged through every Alarmist news outlet on the globe although in the meantime numerous other oceanographers released papers questioning the research used to back up this tenouous link, I didn’t see any of those papers in any media outlets, did you? In any event another PR victory for the green team and another black eye for honesty in public relations and journalism.

Oddly enough mother nature was not informed of the consensus as 2009 recorded the lowest level of hurricanes since 1997.
Nasa Link

Co2 is at a record levels in the atmosphere and hurricanes are on the decline . How can this be, Hurricanes down and C02 production up.

Yet another example of a dishonest PR stunt by Global warming alarmists to add to the list of extinct polar bears, disappearing arctic sea ice by 2013 and Mount Kilimanjaro just to name a few examples of subterfuge. Maybe it’s time for alarmists to just admit global cooling has occurred or add some integrity into their PR mix.

The video is slower at the start as satelite data was tracked every second day until 1984 when it began to track sea ice daily. You can see the swell and decline throughout the seasons (no hiding it) but no sign of sea Ice disapearing anytime soon.

Looks like natural variation from season to season and year to year, nothing to become alarmed about. In the lastest year sea ice is at the exact same extent as in 1970. Last year we had recorded sea ice increase. Why don’t we hear about this in the news? In any event take a look and make up your own mind.

What am I doing here?

If you we’re sceptical about dubious global warming claims ranging from an ice-free arctic by 2013 or causing the crash of Air France 447 you we’re never going to be completely satisfied at any outcome from the Taxinhagen conference. If you we’re sceptical about dubious global warming claims ranging from an ice-free arctic by 2013 or causing the crash of Air France 447 you we’re never going to be completely satisfied at any outcome from the Taxinhagen conference.

However I must admit that I am pleased with the outcome of this conference.
No Binding legal agreement
No hard targets for Emission cuts
No carbon credit agreement
No actual vote on the agreement as it was clear at the end of the conference that it would not receive support from a majority of delegates.

The only real downside is a pledge of 30 billion dollars from public and private sources to be distributed to 3rd world dictators from now until 2020. After 2020 100 billion dollars a year will be committed to carbon reduction in 3rd world countries by the developed world.

Fortunately no money exchanged hands at this stage just a commitment that with luck will evaporate over time.

The politics of the conference broke down as expected, 3rd world countries demanding carbon reparations and the other countries aggressively trying to defend their carbon space in the atmosphere. This certainly is not the end but it could be the beginning of the end for the worlds case of Carbon Fever.

Now we will have some time for the interest in this issue to wane and for the science to be re-examined and undergo legitimate scientific scrutiny which it has yet to face. The climate gate scandal will be investigated and we will get to see the outcome of this in Britain and in the US Senate over the next year.

I can’t see any future conference next year being any more successful with the aforementioned being brought into the spotlight and as global cooling continues the public’s interest will be attracted elsewhere.

The long term prospects for global warming have really begun to cool. I expect the politics on this issue to turn negative unless we see the following:

Another year as hot as 1998
The US senate manages to pass comprehensive carbon reduction legislation

Right now both these occurrences seem unlikely, but the forces pushing the Carbon fever scare are just a vigilant. They have lots of money tied up in this deal and will not slink into the darkness quickly. Expect to see the press ramp up their media blitz on this scare and radicals within the climate community will be out in force.
But for now Freedom has prevailed and for once the little guy got some reprieve from High taxes and a new level of government to enforce bureaucratic regulations.

EDMONTON — Sunday marked the coldest Dec. 13 in Edmonton’s history.

Environment Canada recorded a frigid -46.1 C, or -58.4 C with wind chill, at the Edmonton International Airport at 5 a.m., Environment Canada meteorologist Pierre Lessard said.

The old record of -36.1 C was set last year, he said.

“To break a temperature by 10 degrees is very exceptional,” said Lessard.

A ridge of frigid Arctic air has hit all the prairie provinces this weekend, causing record-low temperatures in many parts of northern Alberta, Lessard said.

“Temperatures are very cold over Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba. There are some places more windy than the others, especially northern Saskatchewan and the north half of Manitoba are very cold,” he said.

But cold Arctic winds are normal in the winter and should pass through by the middle of this week, Lessard said.

ciltan@thejournal.canwest.com

Interesting Discussion?

Urbuan Heat Island Effect? Apparently a 12 year old seems to get it.